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Djibouti Likely To Experience A Static Role In Extra-Government Non-State Actor Activity Within The Next Five Years

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Executive Summary:
Due to Djibouti’s social instability caused by a division between two indigenous nomadic groups (Issa and Afar), large levels of political instability, virtually no democracy, and a nonexistent arena for conducting business, it is likely thatStatic.jpg extra-governmental non-state actors (NSAs), currently play the most influential but still minimal role within Djibouti (represented by its score of 2 on the Extra-Government side of the Role Potential spectrum). However, within the next five years, it is likely that the role NSAs play will remain static primarily due to the lack of vital resources within the country, the limited nature of the civil society under the government, and the continuing social instability plaguing the country.

Analytic Confidence: 6
Source Reliability: 8

Discussion:



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Overall Score

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Democracy Var.

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Doing Bus. Var.

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Corruption Var.

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Failed States Var.

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Geo Dis- NGOs

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Geo Dis- Bus.

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Geo Dis- Ter Grps.